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Re: Baseball Probability Puzzle
Posted:
Jun 13, 1996 3:23 PM


In article <31BEE912.73B6@kodak.com>, Paige Miller <paigem@kodak.com> wrote:
> Yes, but ties are possible! > > Baseball is not as simple as flipping biased coins or comparing Bernoulli trials. > Unless you are willing to make such extreme simplifying assumptions, then we can't > answer your question based upon the information you provide. >
Ties are not possible in baseball. Games tied at the end of 9 innings of play go on to extra innings until one team prevails.
With that said, I agree that baseball is not as simple as flipping a coin. I'd say the pitcher's winning percentages, home and road records, injury status, etc. are all important. If this kind of problem were so easily solved, we all be making a killing betting on the outcomes because of our superior knowledge.
+=============================================================+ Paul C. Bernhardt, M.S. in Psychology, University of Utah PhD graduate student in Educational Psychology +=============================================================+



