In article <firstname.lastname@example.org>, "William L. Bahn" <email@example.com> wrote:
> What's the point? You are taking something that is quite complex and > creating a simpler model in order to make the computations easier.
If you knew Peter, then you'd know that the point was to make a mathematically interesting problem, rather than to compute the actual probability. He would be quite aware of the "problems" you point out, but none of these take away from the allure of the problem.
> In your mythical model or in the US? They have virtually > nothing in common and what applies to one has no applicaiton > to the other.
The application was not the point. Besides, are you trying to claim that the solution to the simplification won't lead to a solution to the unsimplified version?