George
Posts:
81
Registered:
12/13/04
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Re: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Posted:
Apr 8, 2011 1:34 AM
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On Apr 8, 4:46 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Apr 8, 12:48 pm, BruceS <bruce...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> > On Apr 7, 12:22 am, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote:
>
> > > On Apr 7, 2:01 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > > > how come this random noise doesn't affect Zenner Card tests guessing 1
> > > > card from 5 options?
>
> > > Because the card test is repeated 25 times, followed by 9 more sets of
> > > 25 to randomise the noise out! You can't even get past guessing the
> > > second card.
>
> > You beat me to it, Brad. That's pretty much it, Graham. The one in
> > five is *very* subject to random noise, whether it's one guess from
> > five choices or five guesses from twenty five. It's the repetition
> > that reduces the noise. However, with longer odds, like one in 50
> > (you made the brag), the random noise causes fewer false positives
> > from the start. OTOH, to regularly get a hit on 1:50 odds would take
> > some sort of paranormal ability, and we all (including you) know you
> > don't have that! After all, you've repeatedly demonstrated that you
> > don't believe you have it.
>
> WHAT ODDS PER TRIAL DO YOU ACCEPT EXACTLY?
>
> 1 IN 5 IS OBVIOUSLY ALL GUESSWORK LUCK RIGHT?
>
> SO WHAT IS IT?
>
> YOU DON'T DO DICE OR COIN CLAIMS I TAKE IT
You get a CAPS bonus Bruce....
Well done
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