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Re: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Posted:
Apr 8, 2011 1:42 AM
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On Apr 8, 3:34 pm, george <gbl...@hnpl.net> wrote:
> On Apr 8, 4:46 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
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> > On Apr 8, 12:48 pm, BruceS <bruce...@hotmail.com> wrote:
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> > > On Apr 7, 12:22 am, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote:
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> > > > On Apr 7, 2:01 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
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> > > > > how come this random noise doesn't affect Zenner Card tests guessing 1
> > > > > card from 5 options?
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> > > > Because the card test is repeated 25 times, followed by 9 more sets of
> > > > 25 to randomise the noise out! You can't even get past guessing the
> > > > second card.
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> > > You beat me to it, Brad. That's pretty much it, Graham. The one in
> > > five is *very* subject to random noise, whether it's one guess from
> > > five choices or five guesses from twenty five. It's the repetition
> > > that reduces the noise. However, with longer odds, like one in 50
> > > (you made the brag), the random noise causes fewer false positives
> > > from the start. OTOH, to regularly get a hit on 1:50 odds would take
> > > some sort of paranormal ability, and we all (including you) know you
> > > don't have that! After all, you've repeatedly demonstrated that you
> > > don't believe you have it.
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> > WHAT ODDS PER TRIAL DO YOU ACCEPT EXACTLY?
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> > 1 IN 5 IS OBVIOUSLY ALL GUESSWORK LUCK RIGHT?
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> > SO WHAT IS IT?
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> > YOU DON'T DO DICE OR COIN CLAIMS I TAKE IT
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> You get a CAPS bonus Bruce....
> Well done-
Yeh he taunts me in 5 threads all at once and you call me out for
overreacting.
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