Brad
Posts:
33
Registered:
4/21/10
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Re: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Posted:
Apr 8, 2011 6:28 AM
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On Apr 8, 8:15 pm, camgi...@hush.com wrote:
> On Apr 8, 7:55 pm, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> > On Apr 8, 9:16 am, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > > On Apr 7, 4:22 pm, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote:
>
> > > > On Apr 7, 2:01 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > > > > how come this random noise doesn't affect Zenner Card tests guessing 1
> > > > > card from 5 options?
>
> > > > Because the card test is repeated 25 times, followed by 9 more sets of
> > > > 25 to randomise the noise out! You can't even get past guessing the
> > > > second card.
>
> > > You can't even calculate the (superfluous) ODDS that amount of trials
> > > would break
>
> > You are right. I can't, nor am I going to try. I'm simply stating how
> > the test is designed and why. You might get lucky once in a while, we
> > all would, but you cannot repeat the result, and there's the problem.
> > That's why you quit before the second test EVERY TIME.
>
> Wrong on all counts.
>
> Nobody would duplicate the test I broke 200:1 objectively.
>
> Your 250 trials is in the order of
> 1000000000000000000000000000000000000:1
> chance of a false positive. Randi only wants 1000000:1
Start here: http://paranormal.about.com/library/howto/htzener.htm
Notice the small print: "(For our example, let's say g = 100
guesses.)"
You cannot get past Guess Number 1 !!!
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