Search All of the Math Forum:

Views expressed in these public forums are not endorsed by NCTM or The Math Forum.

Notice: We are no longer accepting new posts, but the forums will continue to be readable.

Topic: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Replies: 56   Last Post: Apr 9, 2011 12:29 AM

 Messages: [ Previous | Next ]
 Graham Cooper Posts: 4,495 Registered: 5/20/10
Re: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Posted: Apr 8, 2011 8:56 PM

On Apr 9, 4:09 am, BruceS <bruce...@hotmail.com> wrote:

> On Apr 7, 10:46 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > > > > how come this random noise doesn't affect Zenner Card tests guessing 1
> > > > > card from 5 options?

> > > You beat me to it, Brad.  That's pretty much it, Graham.  The one in
> > > five is *very* subject to random noise, whether it's one guess from

> > WHAT ODDS PER TRIAL DO YOU ACCEPT EXACTLY?

> I've told you repeatedly that I'd be glad to support a test using the
> 1:50 odds you kept bragging you could do repeatedly.  With those odds

WOAH let's stop right there.

Haven't I repeatedly told you that my paranormal bias is approx. a
CONSTANT +50% over the expected score.

e.g. HALF RIGHT FROM 3 OPTIONS

1.5/50 from 50 options.

A 3 options test would take 20 trials to be significant
A 50 option test would take 2000 trials to be significant

I've told you 20 times that the consistency drops with more options.

And I've told you 20 times the 100 number options was an illustrative
protocol example.

Why do you keep ignoring this Bruce?

There's going to be 20 or more trials to break 1000:1 preliminary odds
no matter how you do it.

However, if you can MAXIMIZE THE CONSISTENCY then that MINIMISES the
number of trials needed.

So basically we should be using a "comfortable" range for the number
of options.
i.e. the range in which the subjective positives are most easily
distinguished from the subjective negatives.

So the 'correlation' of any random phrase to 'match' any random 'word'
seems to be about 1 in 5.

Date Subject Author
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 Soporte
4/3/11 Peter Bowditch
4/3/11 Greendistantstar
4/3/11 Peter Bowditch
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 Greendistantstar
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 George
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 BruceS
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/8/11 Doug Schwarz
4/3/11 the man from havana
4/3/11 George
4/3/11 A B
4/3/11 BruceS
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 BruceS
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 BruceS
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/4/11 Graham Cooper
4/4/11 BruceS
4/4/11 Graham Cooper
4/4/11 BruceS
4/5/11 Graham Cooper
4/6/11 BruceS
4/7/11 Graham Cooper
4/7/11 Graham Cooper
4/8/11 camgirls@hush.com
4/8/11 Graham Cooper
4/7/11 BruceS
4/8/11 Graham Cooper
4/8/11 George
4/8/11 Graham Cooper
4/8/11 BruceS
4/8/11 George
4/8/11 BruceS
4/8/11 Graham Cooper
4/8/11 BruceS
4/9/11 BruceS
4/9/11 Graham Cooper
4/9/11 George
4/4/11 BruceS
4/3/11 Graham Cooper
4/3/11 BruceS