Paul
Posts:
271
Registered:
7/12/10
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Re: counter-intuitive fact from everyday mathematics
Posted:
Jun 22, 2012 10:24 AM
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On Friday, June 22, 2012 2:47:14 PM UTC+1, Frederick Williams wrote:
> Paul wrote:
>
> >
> > I strongly stand by my intuition that most people would be surprised by this result.
>
> Do you know what surprises _most_ people. Really? Have you talked to
> people who play such games as backgammon in which pairs of dice are
> rolled?
The backgammon analogy is actually very strong evidence for my point of view. It's an extremely common error in backgammon to wrongly enter into a game plan which relies on the opponent continuously missing a joker. (A joker is backgammon parlance for an extremely good roll.)
Anyway, I don't appreciate your post because I said upfront that I didn't really know, and that this was speculation. And you reply by seemingly accusing me of speaking without knowing. I already said I didn't know!!!!
Paul Epstein
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