On Friday, February 15, 2013 3:22:52 PM UTC, David C. Ullrich wrote: There are 505 equally likely cases leading to a win and 791 > > equally likely cases leading to a loss. That makes the odds of > > winning precisely 505 to 795. >
David, this is the mistake of yours that I was referring to. Correct would be "That makes the odds of winning precisely 791 to 505". (795 instead of 791 is a typo here(.
So this was a mistake of yours.
I thought the cause of your mistake was confusion on your part between X/(X+Y) and Y/(X + Y).
But clearly your mistake lies somewhere else since you're complaining so much.