On Friday, February 15, 2013 5:34:12 PM UTC, peps...@gmail.com wrote: > On Friday, February 15, 2013 3:22:52 PM UTC, David C. Ullrich wrote: > > There are 505 equally likely cases leading to a win and 791 > > > > > > equally likely cases leading to a loss. That makes the odds of > > > > > > winning precisely 505 to 795. > > > > > > > David, this is the mistake of yours that I was referring to. Correct would be "That makes the odds of winning precisely 791 to 505". (795 instead of 791 is a typo here(. > > > > So this was a mistake of yours. > > > > I thought the cause of your mistake was confusion on your part between X/(X+Y) and Y/(X + Y). > > > > But clearly your mistake lies somewhere else since you're complaining so much. > > > > Paul Epstein
By the way, I have a typo myself in that I got a bracket the wrong way round. It could look like an attempt at an emoticon but it certainly wasn't.