Date: Nov 6, 2012 12:09 PM Author: Luis A. Afonso Subject: At least 2 events in 4 trials At least 2 events in 4 trials

___What should be the probability of one event occurrence probability, alpha0, in order that the rule above has a 0.05 probability?

R: I?d found alpha0= 0.0976114629.

If 0.0976 is used the probability is such as 0.049989 . . . the error amounting to 0.022%.

___________

Probability= 0.01__________alpha0= 0.042, error = 0.006%

Luis A. Afonso