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Topic: A statistics problem from World of Warcraft
Replies: 1   Last Post: Mar 12, 2008 7:03 PM

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 Sam.H Posts: 3 Registered: 3/12/08
Re: A statistics problem from World of Warcraft
Posted: Mar 12, 2008 7:03 PM

Well, I ran a simulation on my TI83+ overnight, and it looks like the stack size is
0: 50.11% of the time
1: 24.88%
2: 12.52%
3: 6.24%
4: 3.21%
5: 3.03%
This is based off of a simulated 270403.2959 seconds of time. It seems like each stack probability is the previous multiplied by the probability of hitting w/ the effect, with an exception: 5 has a higher probability because (in my simulation, I'm wasn't sure if this was supposed to happen tho) hitting w/ the effect just reset the time left to 15 seconds on a stack level of 5. I assumed that at the end of 15 seconds without getting the effect, the stack was set to 0. I'm not sure if that's right cuz I don't play WoW very much.
Hope that helped.
-Sam

Date Subject Author
1/9/08 Jason Fahy
3/12/08 Sam.H