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Sam.H
Posts:
3
Registered:
3/12/08
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Re: A statistics problem from World of Warcraft
Posted:
Mar 12, 2008 7:03 PM
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Well, I ran a simulation on my TI83+ overnight, and it looks like the stack size is 0: 50.11% of the time 1: 24.88% 2: 12.52% 3: 6.24% 4: 3.21% 5: 3.03% This is based off of a simulated 270403.2959 seconds of time. It seems like each stack probability is the previous multiplied by the probability of hitting w/ the effect, with an exception: 5 has a higher probability because (in my simulation, I'm wasn't sure if this was supposed to happen tho) hitting w/ the effect just reset the time left to 15 seconds on a stack level of 5. I assumed that at the end of 15 seconds without getting the effect, the stack was set to 0. I'm not sure if that's right cuz I don't play WoW very much. Hope that helped. -Sam
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