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Topic: Geometric Problem??
Replies: 3   Last Post: Jan 13, 2000 8:41 AM

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 Pat Ballew Posts: 356 Registered: 12/3/04
RE: Geometric Problem??
Posted: Jan 13, 2000 8:41 AM

Elissa,
afterword.. Some years ago (95? maybe) I investigated the expected length in
comparison to the actual length of world series contests. I submitted to the
question which included the additional option of a "home field advantage". You
might want to use this as a followup questions to students who found the
original question interesting...
Given that the two teams are even, but the home team has a prob of p of
winning, what is the expected length of a world series. To simplify the problem
give a specific prob, say .55 or .6 for the home team...

Pat Ballew,
Misawa, Jp

"Statistics means never having to say you're certain."

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-----Original Message-----
From: Elisfarmer@aol.com at EDU-INTERNET
Sent: Monday, January 10, 2000 9:40 PM
To: apstat-l@etc.bc.ca at EDU-INTERNET
Subject: Geometric Problem??

Hi everyone.

I assigned this problem to my class and I'm not sure how to get the answer,
except by listing all the possibilities (and even then I'm not sure). Any
helpful hints or actual solutions are greatly appreciated. I'm not sure
where I got this - maybe at NCSSM - but I decided to embellish it and got
myself into a world of trouble.

Two teams, A and B, are playing a series until one team gets four wins. In
Scenario 1, team A and team B are evenly matched, and in Scenario two, Team A
has a 70% chance of winning each game.
What is the expected length of each series, theoretically? (they simulate
it first)
What is the theoretical probability each team wins the series? (Is it
the same as the probability of winning each game?)

Elissa Farmer
Garfield High School
Seattle, WA
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Date Subject Author
1/10/00 Elisfarmer
1/11/00 Peter Flanagan-Hyde
1/11/00 Joshua Zucker
1/13/00 Pat Ballew