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Re: AUSTRALIAN SKEPTICS PRESIDENT REFUSES TO DO THIS PARANORMAL TEST!
Posted:
Apr 8, 2011 6:15 AM
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On Apr 8, 7:55 pm, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote: > On Apr 8, 9:16 am, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > On Apr 7, 4:22 pm, Brad <goog...@vk2qq.com> wrote: > > > > On Apr 7, 2:01 pm, Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > how come this random noise doesn't affect Zenner Card tests guessing 1 > > > > card from 5 options? > > > > Because the card test is repeated 25 times, followed by 9 more sets of > > > 25 to randomise the noise out! You can't even get past guessing the > > > second card. > > > You can't even calculate the (superfluous) ODDS that amount of trials > > would break > > You are right. I can't, nor am I going to try. I'm simply stating how > the test is designed and why. You might get lucky once in a while, we > all would, but you cannot repeat the result, and there's the problem. > That's why you quit before the second test EVERY TIME.
Wrong on all counts.
Nobody would duplicate the test I broke 200:1 objectively.
Your 250 trials is in the order of 1000000000000000000000000000000000000:1 chance of a false positive. Randi only wants 1000000:1
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