Search All of the Math Forum:
Views expressed in these public forums are not endorsed by
Drexel University or The Math Forum.
|
|
|
|
Buchanan: Rational choice: a discussion method
Posted:
May 23, 2012 12:33 AM
|
|
Take a mind s conceptio, idea. Set a proportion over a popultion of NOs (bigger sector) vs YESs (1-x sector). The NOs are defeated by default, the YESs are victorious by default (axiomatic assumption: the statement is TRUE). Now let the Nos make all possible objections to the statement while the YESs refute the refutations and assert the original idea by default. At random (endogenously driven) points in time, synchronize and ask the original mind-inceptor to make a decision (and further the theme). Then let a third party EVALUATE the state of the matter, by any method, say, (basically), cost-benefit of adopting the issue. Til it is clear the statement is either wrong or bad.
This method should yield fair assessments of the matter with maximum branching and maximum positive development under minimization of decision errors and prejudiced NOs.
Any valiant to math the expectations of error type I & II?
This seems to be the Electoral College method. But it can be used as think tank development method.
Note the the NOs have to be defeated beforehand to give the statement a chance! The statment will be applied axiomatically to Reality no matter what (unless the error is evident to all parties). All YESs have to assume the statement is AXIOMATICALLY TRUE to guarantee **enough** counterrefutation arguments. No chamnges of heart allowed! IE, once argumentation begins, all YESs have to defend the statement even against Reality (fantasy creativity) til a contradiction of terms is observed _repeatedly_.
This method ought to work better for positive propositions.
Sorry for not delivering the Imports essay yet. I need my REFERENCES. Intl Commerce.
The assumption is of course that the original statement contains no error despite arguments against, ie, it is the best course of action.
It should better the chances for the whole population to make a correct decision.
Danilo J Bonsignore
|
|
|
|