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Topic: Criminal Profiling?
Replies: 1   Last Post: Aug 19, 2017 1:14 PM

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root

Posts: 57
Registered: 8/26/09
Criminal Profiling?
Posted: Aug 17, 2017 4:23 PM
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The book "Manhunter" by Colin Wilson describes FBI effort to profile
"serial" killers in the US. The concept of criminal profiling
has been expressed in many movies and TV shows. The more I think
about it the less I believe there is any substance to the effort.

According to Wikipedia there have been 243 serial killers caught
and convicted in the US. There are, perhaps, another 50 or so
who have been named (e.g. Zodiac) but not caught. Say something
like 300 total. This amounts to 1 in a million in the US.

At the present time, about 1 person in 6,000 lives to be 100
years, and one in about 15 million lives to be 110. Whenever
I have heard one of the the super-centenarians offer his/her
reason for longevity it has never been anything we could live
by.

Simply based upon numbers, it seems to me that trying to
profile a serial killer would be like profiling someone
who has lived to be 105 years old. Then, if you started to
narrow the field down, say on the basis of victim's age
or sex, the sample size would be correspondingly diminished.

I would appreciate any comments you might have about the
how productive this profiling effort could be.

Thanks.


Date Subject Author
8/17/17
Read Criminal Profiling?
root
8/19/17
Read Re: Criminal Profiling?
Richard Ulrich

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