Tversky's Legacy Revisited
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|Keith Devlin (Devlin's Angle)|
|"Amos Tversky died earlier this year. To mathematicians, the Stanford-based psychologist is best known for the research he did with his colleague Daniel Kahneman in the early 1970s, into the way people judge probabilities and estimate likely outcomes of events. The following problem is typical of the scenarios considered by Tversky and Kahneman. Imagine you are a member of a jury judging a hit-and-run driving case. A taxi hit a pedestrian one night and fled the scene. The entire case against the taxi company rests on the evidence of one witness, an elderly man who saw the accident from his window some distance away. He says that he saw the pedestrian struck by a blue taxi...."|
|Levels:||Middle School (6-8), High School (9-12), College|
|Math Topics:||History and Biography, Probability, Psychology|
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