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Math Forum » Discussions » Math Topics » alt.math.recreational

Topic: Probability and Time
Replies: 1   Last Post: Sep 28, 2007 11:01 AM

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ESE

Posts: 1
Registered: 9/22/07
Probability and Time
Posted: Sep 22, 2007 5:45 PM
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Hello,

I am looking for some help solving a seemingly trivial problem. Any help is greatly appreciated.

Problem:

If an event has a 60% probability of occurring at least once in a 2 hour period, what is the probability it will occur at least once for any other duration T. (T=.5 hours, T=4 hours, etc.)?

I thought that I could reach for the Poisson distribution/Poisson process to help me solve this problem. However, I get weird non-intuitive results. Can someone point me in the right direction with regard to solving this type of problem?

Thanks
Date Subject Author
9/22/07
Read Probability and Time
ESE
9/28/07
Read homogeneous distribution
Huy Pham

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