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Topic: mutating
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Posts: 65
Registered: 12/13/04
Posted: Apr 27, 2008 10:08 AM
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assume a viruses has n binary positions in its genome
and each position mutates randomly and independently at a rate of
p per year. (typically n=5000, p=0.01)
The virus can infect two different people, and those two
can then evolve independently into different directions.

Assume you find two viruses at times t1<t2 and they
differ at x positions, what is the expectation value
and deviation (and distribution function ?) of the time of their
most recent common anchestor ?

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