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Topic: Playing Around With Various Running Averages
Replies: 2   Last Post: Aug 9, 2012 11:51 PM

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Bret Cahill

Posts: 243
Registered: 9/18/09
Playing Around With Various Running Averages
Posted: Aug 9, 2012 11:22 AM
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https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?contractId=743474&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com

Is there any average, i.e., 30 day, 90 day, 180 day, triangular,
exponential, etc. that does _not_ extrapolate out to above 50% in 3
months? Assume the extrapolation is just a straight line.

Is there any numerical technique that provides the criteria for the
lowest possible result?


Bret Cahill





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